Aaron Judge, MLB, New York Yankees

Intro: The New York Yankees are hosting the Texas Rangers in Game 1 of their three-game series tonight! The Rangers are coming off a 4-3 loss to the Houston Astros and split their four-game series 2-2. As for the Yankees, they are coming off a dominant 8-2 win over the New York Mets and won the Subway Series 2-1. Let’s jump straight into this game and cook up a winning slip!

Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees Odds

TeamSpreadTotalMoney Line
Texas Rangers+1.5 (-122)Over 9 (-112)+164
New York Yankees-1.5 (+102)Under 9 (-108)-196
Odds Are Subject to Change
Date and Time: May 20th, 2025 @ 7:05 PM EST

Crucial Stats

Texas Rangers

The Texas Rangers are coming off a tight loss to the Houston Astros 4-3. With a record of 25-23, the Rangers sit in 3rd place in the AL West. Offensively, this offense has seen better seasons. They are currently ranked 26th in runs, 26th in OPS, 26th in BA, 25th in total bases, and 14th in home runs. Over their last ten games, the Rangers have a record of 7-3, including an 8-13 record on the road.

Defensively, they are one of the best teams in the MLB. They are ranked 5th in runs allowed, 2nd in OPSA, 5th in BA allowed, 2nd in total bases allowed, and 3rd in errors. Patrick Corbin is expected to take the mound and has had great success against this Yankees lineup. He has allowed a .157 BA, 17/108, 30 Ks, and 7 HRs. In his last start, Corbin went six innings on 94 pitches, only allowed four hits and three runs, and struck out nine batters.

In terms of injuries and whos hot, former World Series MVP Corey Seager has been out with a right hamstring injury. When healthy, he is one of the best players in the MLB. Shortstop Josh Smith leads the team with a .295 BA and OBP of .365. Despite struggling in their last series, look for Adolis Garcia to bounce back. Against Houston, he was 2/14 with five strikeouts.

New York Yankees

The New York Yankees are coming off a dominant 8-2 win over the New York Mets in their last game. With a record of 27-19, they sit in 1st place in the AL East. Offensively, this is one of the best teams in baseball. They are currently ranked 3rd in runs, 2nd OPS, 4th BA, 2nd in total bases, and 2nd in home runs. Over their last ten games, the Yankees have a record of 7-3, including 15-9 at home.

Defensively, New York is one of the best baseball and Texas teams. They are ranked 7th in runs allowed, 1st in OPSA, 1st in BA allowed, 1st in total bases allowed, and 13th in errors. Will Warren is expected to take the mound for the Yankees. He hasn’t faced this Rangers lineup yet. Warren has a 2-2 record for the season, 4.61 ERA, .234 BAA, and 50 Ks.

In terms of injuries and who is hot, the Yankees are still without Jazz Chisholm Jr. with his right oblique strain. Aaron Judge leads the team in basically everything: BA, HRs, RBIs, OBP, and hits. The three-time MVP is having another MVP-level season through the first 46 games. He is truly one of the best players of all time.

Prediction

The Yankees will win this game and cover the 1.5 spread in this game. Despite Corbin’s success against this Yankees lineup, New York has been better against LHP than RHP. A .270 BA vs LHP and a .258 vs RHP. We know all about the short porch at home, which could be a factor here. The torpedo bats will fire away as New York cruises to a multi-run win!

Who Ya Got???

New York Yankees -1.5 (+102)

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